Posted by
Ryan Hawkins on Friday, October 31, 2008 1:42:12 PM
Allow me to begin by pointing out I have clearly been a Mitt Romney supporter for the past two plus years...I have never been excited about the McCain campaign. McCain's presidential campaign reminds me a little too much of Fred Thompson's primary campaign. I have never liked McCain's positions nor his chances for this election. I believe his campaign was doomed for failure ever since he won the nomination. I held up a glimmer or hope when he selected Palin as his running mate, but not even Palin could bring the McCain campiagn the life it needs to win this election. Allow me also to point out that I can't stand Obama and it is killing me to see so many gullible Americans falling for the Obama-Biden rhetoric.
Now, for the facts. I have said for over a year now that this election will be decided by 7-8 states and that few other states would change colors from the 2004 election. Both the GOP and the Dem's will maintain most of the states each party held in 2004 with the following potential exceptions. The GOP would try to steal MI, MN, and WI and the Dem's would try to steal OH, VA, FL, and CO.
Based on CNN's polls, it appears the Dem's may not only succeed in holding MI, MN, and WI but also that they could very well succeed in stealing all four of those GOP states plus a few more.
If CNN's polls are close, then clearly the GOP's problem is that even if McCain wins all 84 electoral votes from the swing states (which already looks unlikely at this point...but let's be as optimistic as possible) McCain's total electoral votes will reach 247 and Obama 291. In other words, under the most McCain-optimistic scenario I can conceive, Obama still wins by 44 electoral votes. McCain enjoys making fun of Obama's "cockiness" and pointing out that Obama is already measuring the drapes in the whitehouse. Under the circumstances, if I were Obama - I do more than measure drapes...I'd either take the weekend off or maybe see if I can go steal Arizona.
McCain
RIP.