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Who Caused the 2008 Financial Meltdown?

The constitutional lawyer, Mark Levine, has given one of the most comprehensive analyses of how the financial meltdown of 2008 occurred, and who is to blame.  

On one of his shows, Mark outlined in vivid detail the chronology of where all these risky loans and bad debt that crashed the big investment banks on Wall Street originated.  Mark then goes on to showcase that the very people who created the mess are LYING THROUGH THEIR TEETH to blame Capitalism or Bush for their dirty work.

This is informative to know, so that when you read these Leftists in Congress blame you and me and Bush and the GOP – for this mess that THEY helped create, we might someday hold these vermin accountable.

Thank you Mark!

 

Where the Blame Truly Lies In The Financial Meltdown This Past Week 

Transcript

MARK LEVIN SHOW

Friday September 19, 2008:

September 2008 will be remembered as the time when Socialism really, really took hold in this country.

Unfortunately these politicians are running for the hills because they do not want to take responsibility for what is going on, and I mean BIG TIME.

So I want to tell you a little story about your government; I want to tell you a little story about how it works and doesn’t work. I want to tell you a little story about how things go on in the shadows in this country and the massive bureaucracies of this country that you don’t know about, and yet they affect your lives every single day.

We have a massive Administrative State….and we have this massive bureaucracy, that’s utterly unelected, and unaffected by what you want or what you believe. It’s part of the Washington elite management system that controls so much of what goes on in this country.

…And I want to tell you a little bit about how the liberals in government whether they be elected or appointed, whether they be bureaucrats or politicians, how they work together and bring us to this point. And then tell YOU the problem is free markets, the problem is Capitalism, the problem is greed.

They lie.

The Community Reinvestment Act, or CRA – is a federal law that requires banks and thrifts to offer credit throughout their entire market area. And it prohibits them from NOT giving loans to poorer areas within the reach of their communities. They call this redlining. They call violations of this redlining.

The purpose of this Act is to provide credit, including home ownership opportunities to what they call “under-served populations” and commercial loans to small businesses.

The law was passed by Congress in 1977 under Carter as a result of national grassroots pressure from groups like ACORN (an ultra-Left wing criminal enterprise in my humble opinion) which brought pressure for affordable housing for the poor. It was opposed significantly and aggressively by the banking community. But they had no choice. It became law 31 years ago.

The law mandates that “each banking institution be evaluated to determine if it has met the credit needs of it’s entire community” – that is, if it has given loans to enough poor people, or people who can’t really afford them.

And then that record is taken into account by the federal government when it considers an institution’s application for mergers and acquisitions. 

And so the law is enforced by the federal government and in 1995, as a result of interest from Bill Clinton’s Administration – particularly Janet Reno and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, the implementing regulations for the law were strengthened by focusing the financial regulator’s attention on institution’s performance in helping to meet community credit needs.

So they really, really pushed them. They used the FORCE OF LAW to compel these private institutions to make bad loans.

These changes were very controversial. 

…The Clinton Administration’s regulatory revisions with an effective starting date of January 31 1995, were credited with substantially increasing the number and aggregate amount of loans to small businesses and to low and moderate income borrowers for home loans. Clinton used to brag about this.

Part of the increase in home loans was due to increased efficiency in the genesis of lenders like Countrywide that DID NOT mitigate loan risk with savings deposits, which traditional banks do. They were using the new SUBPRIME AUTHORIZATION, of 1995. Are you listening to me? This is known as the secondary market for mortgage loans. The revisions in the law allowed the securitization of CRA loans containing subprime mortgages. In other words, they had to figure out how to give loans to people who do not qualify for the loans under traditional procedures. So they changed the procedures.

The loans were not capitalized. So you have No Down Payment loans, No Interest loans, Low Interest loans that turn into higher interest loans over time (ARMs), and on and on. They were trying to be creative in what they could do, and they HAD TO BE under the threat of losing business practices and activities as compelled by the Federal Government.

The Federal Government compelled this activity and compelled this behavior.

The first securitization of CRA loans, started in 1997 with Bear Stearns (remember them?) 

Now in 2003, The Bush Administration recommended what the New York Slimes (Times) called “The most significant regulatory overhaul in the Housing Financial Industry since the Savings and Loan crisis a decade ago”. This change was to move governmental supervision of two of the primary agents guaranteeing subprime loans; Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, under a wholly new agency created within the Department of Justice, which would give it more oversight power and more auditing power. It would require these two so-called “companies” to better capitalize their debt.

Even so, what remained was the implied guarantee that the American taxpayer, should anything go wrong, would back-up these loans.

But that legislation to strengthen these programs, to move the oversight to an independent separate agency WAS BLOCKED in 2003 by Congress. And it was blocked by the Democrats, because the Democrats were in bed with ACORN and these other “community activists grassroots groups”, of whom Barrack The Hussein Obama is quite familiar.
These are the constituents of the Democrat party – that is these Left wing groups like ACORN.

(Barney) Frank (D-MA) was in bed with them; Chris Dodd (D-CT) was in bed with them; the Clinton Administration was in bed with them; and so they blocked the reforms the Bush Administration proposed in 2003.

Barney Frank said at the time “These two entities Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are NOT FACING ANY KIND OF FINANCIAL CRISIS. The more people exaggerate these problems…the more pressure there is on these companies, the less we will see in terms of affordable housing”.

So basically, the Socialists FORCED the private sector to behave in ways the private sector didn’t want to behave but was forced to behave under threat of law. That is to give loans to people who were bad risks.

The two government run companies; Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, when the Bush Administration said in ’03 “Look we got a problem here. They don’t have enough capital, they’re running wild over there. We don’t have enough oversight and auditing activity. We want to break out that activity – make it independent so they can oversee it. Force them to capitalize against their loans better”. They were BLOCKED.

Now I don’t know about people who say we can’t talk about party (blame) – We HAVE TO TALK ABOUT PARTY HERE because the only way you have accountability, and the only way you fix this situation, is to know WHO and WHAT is responsible, and what policies got us here!

Now these policies encouraged the development of the sub-prime debacle, through this CRA legislation, which forced banks to lend to uncreditworthy customers. Which they are now being criticized for having done. Before this debacle, while they are now attacking these huge financial institutions – they would praise them for all the uncreditworthy risky loans they were giving to ‘certain’ citizens (and non-citizens) in this country!

In 2003, the NY Slimes said of the Bush Administration’s plan “The plan is an acknowledgment by the Administration that oversight of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which together have issued more than 1.5 trillion in outstanding debt, is broken”. 

2003.

Former Treasury Secretary John Snowe from the Bush Administration, 2003 - “There is a general recognition, that the supervisory system for housing-related government-sponsored enterprise neither has the tools nor the stature, to deal effectively with the current size, complexity and importance of these enterprises.”

Michael Oxley, Republican from Ohio, former House Finance Services Committee Chairman, he said: “The current regulator does not have the tools or the mandate to adequately regulate these enterprises. In recent months, we have seen the mismanagement and questionable accounting practices went largely unnoticed”.

The Senate Republican Policy Committee, the Conservatives warned in 2003, that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac threatened the U.S. economy and taxpayer “Although both firms seem to be performing well at the moment, it is far better for Congress to take pre-emptive action, instead of facing an enormously expensive corrective action after a destabilizing crisis strikes. Given how large these government companies have grown, and how much interest rate risk they retain, the risks posed by their current operations, should move Congress to increase their disclosure requirements, improve safety and soundness regulations, and examine how best to extricate the Federal Government from their operations. And through such steps, Congress could give regulators and investors a better sense of the risks that Fannie and Freddie’s operations pose and reduce the likelihood of a bailout.”

That was the Conservative Republican Policy Committee, Conservative Republican Senators.

What did the Democrats say? What did they say in 2003?

When the Bush Administration in 2003 was in fact, ringing the alarm bells, and did in-fact draft proposed legislation to address this, Republicans supported it and Democrats blocked it.

“These two entities Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are NOT FACING ANY KIND OF FINANCIAL CRISIS. The more people exaggerate these problems…the more pressure there is on these companies, the less we will see in terms of affordable housing”. – Barney Frank, 2003 (D-MA)

He told the AP a few weeks later: “I don’t think we face a crisis. I don’t think we have an impending disaster.”

In 2004 Frank said “I think Wall Street will get over it”, referring to the possible collapse of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

In 2005, the Republicans in Congress offered legislation to basically do what the Bush Administration had proposed two years earlier, and here’s what the Democrat Minority Leader in the Senate Harry Reid had to say: “The legislation from the Senate Banking Committee passed today on a party-line vote by the Republican majority, includes measures that could cripple the ability of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to carry out their mission of expanding home ownership. While I favor approving oversight by our federal housing regulators, to ensure safety and soundness, we cannot pass legislation that could limit Americans from owning homes and potentially harm our economy in the process”. That was UPI quoting Harry Reid in July ’05.

This by the way is the same reason they won’t address the other looming disasters like Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. They just won’t do it. Until we’re on the brink.

As recently as August 16, 2007 – a little over a year ago – Schumer and Dodd, the Chairman of the Banking Committee, called on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac regulators TO LIFT THE PORTFOLIO CAPS SO THEY COULD GIVE OUT MORE LOANS, to MORE people. They argued that allowing the two firms to buy more mortgages, and we’re talking about these sub-prime mortgages, “at least temporarily” they said, “would inject much liquidity into the market and calm the financial markets.” 

That’s what we’re talking about.

In November 2006, Schumer in an Op-Ed in the Wall Street Journal with New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg“With the benefit of hindsight, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, which imposed a new regulatory framework on all public companies doing business in the U.S., also needs to be re-examined. Since its passage, auditing expenses for companies doing business in the U.S. have grown far beyond anything Congress had anticipated. Of course, we must not in any way diminish our ability to detect corporate fraud and protect investors. But there appears to be a worrisome trend of corporate leaders focusing inordinate time on compliance minutiae rather than innovative strategies for growth, for fear of facing personal financial penalties from overzealous regulators.”

They were arguing for REDUCING the regulations that had been passed after Enron!!!!

…We will be paying for all of this now and down the road because of Socialism. That’s what I am trying to explain. That’s why I am taking the time to slog though this. Because it all sounds so foreign – because it has all been going on, behind the curtain. So we really haven’t been aware of it. It’s like Illegal Immigration, been going on for 45 years, they have been passing these laws, and we really haven;t been aware of it. We’re aware of it now, because we are on the hook for it. 

What Chuck Schumer wrote in the WSJ Op-Ed in November 2006, is not what Chuck Schumer says today. Here’s what he said on the senate floor 

“8 years of de-regulatory zeal by the Bush Administration, an attitude of “The market can do no wrong” have led us down the short path to economic recession. From the unregulated mortgage brokers, to the opaque credit default swaps market, to aggressive Short Sellers who were driving down the price of even healthy financial institutions based on innuendo, this Administration has failed to take the steps necessary to protect both Main Street and Wall Street”.

There may not be a silver bullet to fix what is currently dragging down the economy, but we can take steps to mitigate the costs and make sure that the impact of this crisis will be short-term. ” – Schumer, (D-NY)

See, our nation would be far better off without charlatans like Chuck Schumer. We have you dead to rights here Chuck. We have you in writing where you demanded LESS regulation and less oversight. So the fact you go to the senate floor and spew your talking points doesn’t work here.

We have you Barney – we have you dead to rights too. You’re a liar. You fought the reforms the Administration tried to put in place in 2005.

Yet Frank had this to say today:

“The fundamental issue is we have got to put an end to this situation in which there is no sensible regulation, and irresponsible individuals in the private market, or unwise individuals in the private market can incur the kind of risks that put us in a threatening situation,” said House Financial Services Committee Chairman, Barney Frank.

He’s a liar.

Now Barrack Obama, Obama is allied with radical groups like ACORN. These radical Left wing front groups like ACORN which pushed hard for the legislation that Carter put in place – the CRA forcing private financial institutions to make the riskiest of loans.

We have the Clinton Administration dead to rights – including Janet Reno, who insisted that these banks and financial institutions would not be able to survive and expand unless they took a certain amount of their assets and applied them to the riskiest of loans. That’s what they created in 1995 with this sub-prime market – of zero down loans. They were trying to come up with packages so they could meet their federal requirements. And they did.

Then step in the two government-run entities, Fannie and Freddie – and they are buying up these loans from the private sector as far as they can. Now that doesn’t promote home ownership, yet that is what they were in existence to do. So why were they buying up these risky loans?? Because they appeared as assets on their books, even though they weren’t. And the more assets they had, the bigger the bonuses for Franklin Raines, and Jamie Gorelick, and Jim Johnson – these three who are Obama’s ECONOMIC ADVISORS – that’s why they bought them up. It was in their OWN self-interest!!

This corrosive cronyism, has spread throughout the financial institutions in this country. That’s why they are hustling to fix it! Their fingerprints are all over this dammit! Don’t you see???!!! This wasn’t the private sector that did this, this wasn’t any individual company that did this, this is institutionalized corruption – we call it Socialism!!! Every effort to address it by the Bush Administration in ’03, by the Republicans in ’05, was rejected. Rejected by Chris Dodd, rejected by Chuck Schumer, rejected Barney Frank, rejected by Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid. This is why I rail against this! This is why I rail against the Left and the Socialists.

This isn’t a joke! This is real life!

And now, over the weekend, the Treasury Secretary – who is a Liberal Democrat, and a Friend of Schumer’s – has a plan that sticks us with a bill of over 1 TRILLION dollars!

We’re nationalizing businesses, we’re subsidizing businesses, now we’re going to create a 1 trillion dollar trust??

I tell you what; Socialism Sucks.

Paulson plan could cost $1 trillion

Look what your government has done!!!!!! They have dragged us to the precipice!

You and I weren’t overseeing Freddie and Fannie – you and I had nothing to do with this CRA law – with all these Left Wing grassroots groups – or forcing banks and thrifts to cough up money for risky loans – we had nothing to do with this!

This is what goes on behind the scenes.

“Oh it’s Capitalism and Free Markets that are the cause” – no it’s not – THAT’S the problem!

What kind of a businessman gives a loan to someone who cannot pay it back unless they have a gun to their head???

…So all this crap that is out there – all these bad loans that are out there – they are going to pass them off into this fund, so every business out there that is loaded with these is going to dump them on you and me – the American taxpayer. To save those businesses. And by the way, those businesses – in many cases were forced to make these crap loans by the very people who are going to save us!!!

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) said on ABC’s “Good Morning America” said lawmakers were told last night “that we’re literally maybe days away from a complete meltdown of our financial system, with all the implications, here at home and globally.” ?

Why is Chris Dodd still chairman of the banking Committee?? Why isn’t he spooning out slop at some federal prison? Why isn’t he in charge of the soap at some Federal prison? 

“What you heard last evening is one of those rare moments — certainly rare in my experience here — was that Democrats and Republicans decided we needed to work together, quickly,” Dodd said.

Funny how they want to work quickly to fix it now – but refused to do so in 2003 and 2005 BEFORE this collapse was triggered.

Congressional leaders tell Politico that to expedite the rescue, Treasury plans to seek additional authority rather than creating a new entity. The plan involves buying up hundreds of billions of dollars in bad mortgages to take them off the books of financial institutions that otherwise might fail”. 

…Yeah let’s hurry up (and fix this) let’s set this thing up before the American people figure out what’s going on. Let’s set it up – because as all the experts keep telling us, “this is just too big to fail!” That’s too big and this is too big – we have to nationalize everything! That’ll fix it! That’s because we know that whatever the government does is okay and whatever the private sector does is horrific.

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Phoenix Suns Sell Out

Regardless of which side of the fence you are on, I truly question any franchise's decision to make political statements such as the Phoenix Suns have chosen to do on their cinqo de mayo playoff game with the San Antonio Spurs.   

It is very bad for any business to interject politics.  I love Michael Jordan's perspective for not doing so when he said, "Republicans buy shoes too."

I don't see anything other than disastrous consequences when a business (or the business' icons) decide to take a position on a controversial issue that is in opposition to a sizable percentage of its customer base...will that bring any more customers than it loses?  (I could be wrong, but I seriously doubt it.)        
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Where Our Current Healthcare System Went Wrong: Will Obamacare Fix it?

As part of an weekly professional update I receive regarding Tax laws, I read this morning an article titled "Why the Healthcare Bill Means the Death of Reagan-Era Tax Reform," by Scott L. Semer.  Semer hits at the heart of why our healthcare system was experiencing such unsustainable cost increases and I believe his analysis is the most accurate I have ever read.  (...And I have been following healthcare for quite some time.)  Below are quotes from Scott's article - well worth the read...he uses a traffic jam analogy that truly illustrates his points.  (Highlighting & emphasis are my own.) 
 
 
 
 
If you are driving south from the FDR Drive in New York City across the Brooklyn Bridge to Brooklyn and then on to the Brooklyn Queens Expressway, as hundreds of thousands of drivers do each week, at four different points you will need to wait patiently as two lanes of traffic are forced to merge into one lane for approximately 20 to 100 yards before the road expands back to two lanes. At two of these merges, drivers try to defeat this inefficient traffic pattern by turning a purported single lane into two narrow lanes, so that no merging is necessary. In two other places, drivers try to wait to merge until the last possible moment -- which is mathematically the most efficient way to merge -- so that traffic in each of the merging lanes travels at approximately the same speed.

Several times a month, clearly visible to me and the other walking commuters from our vantage point on the pedestrian path of the Brooklyn Bridge, the NYPD tries to prevent these driver redesigns by stationing police cars near the point of the merge and ticketing anyone who tries to use unmarked pavement as an extra lane or who fails to merge before the point the traffic signs arbitrarily decide is the last place to change from the second lane into the first. Whenever the police decide to show up, an enormous traffic jam is created and traffic slows to a crawl, drawing bewildered stares from the throngs of tourists who walk across the bridge. When the NYPD leaves drivers to their own devices, traffic inevitably moves fairly well -- not as well as if the traffic pattern were properly designed, but far better than when the police try to force everyone to follow poorly designed rules to the letter.

The recent tax law and health insurance changes ushered in as part of the two recently signed healthcare bills present a strangely similar phenomenon.

For longer than the "useful lives" of most individuals paying taxes in the United States today, the code has provided a large incentive for employers to offer health insurance to employees, even when the employees would have been much better off -- absent the tax considerations -- with other forms of compensation.

The tax system has done this through essentially two mechanisms. First, employees can receive the benefits of health insurance without being taxed on the premiums paid by their employer. While $10,000 of cash compensation would be taxable to an employee, $10,000 used by the employer to buy health insurance for the employee does not produce taxable income. The expenditure remains deductible for the employer, creating a clear incentive on the part of the employee for this form of tax-free compensation without creating a corresponding opposite incentive for the employer.

Second, employees who "win" their insurance bet -- meaning that they end up receiving more in health benefits paid for by the insurance company than the cost of their premiums -- are not taxed on this income.

Health insurance thus represents one of the rare instances in which a taxpayer gets to make a deductible expenditure that can yield tax-free income.

Not surprisingly, taxpayers have sought to increase their ability to take advantage of this opportunity in two ways: first, by increasing the value of the insurance they receive, and second, by increasing the tax-free benefits they receive once the insurance is in place. The first goal is achieved by having the employer purchase a more valuable insurance plan for the employee, such as one that covers more types of healthcare procedures, requires lower deductibles and co-payments by the employee, and also covers the employee's family members. The second goal is achieved by obtaining more healthcare services that are paid for by the insurance company. At a minimum, a rational employee would want to try to use at least as much in healthcare services as is equal to the taxable compensation they could have received if they had received cash compensation instead of the healthcare policy (arguably they should settle for slightly less, since the insurance policy also provides the peace of mind of knowing that expensive healthcare emergencies will be covered).

The incentives created by the tax treatment of these healthcare benefits therefore serve as a substitute for the physical barriers or police cars that force our commuters to use one lane. In the case of healthcare, the lane that the incentives encourage taxpayers to use is one of receiving larger and more valuable healthcare packages and of using as many services as possible.

While some consumers may have wanted to acquire insurance to cover only certain unexpected catastrophes -- the typical purview of insurance -- the market moved to accommodate the vast majority who wanted to maximize the tax-free benefits available to them. Not surprisingly, after decades of this system, both the cost of health insurance and the consumption of healthcare services have increased dramatically. If this increase continues, an unsustainable percentage of our gross national product will be spent on health insurance and healthcare. Moreover, because of the increased costs, it will become harder for people to obtain both healthcare and insurance to treat health problems that would otherwise lead to financial catastrophe. Also, insurance companies have become involved in every part of the healthcare system, even routine procedures that patients would normally have paid for on their own if not for the tax incentives of the current system.

Instead of addressing the existing tax distortion that helped to create these problems, the new healthcare legislation provides additional subsidies to those who are unable to obtain the tax benefits of employer-provided insurance, and it requires that insurers provide plans that will ultimately prove to be even more costly because they must cover more circumstances and have fewer exclusions. With the exception of a minor penalty on "Cadillac" health plans that isn't applicable until far in the future (and may never actually go into effect), the legislation encourages yet more people to move into the lane of more expensive insurance, more consumption of healthcare services, and perhaps most perniciously of all, to involve insurance companies in even routine visits to the doctor.

Inevitably, both the cost of health insurance and the consumption of services, and as a result the cost of those services, will continue to rise dramatically.

Eventually someone will have to pay for all of this.

The legislation's plan to cover at least some of these potential costs is essentially to increase marginal tax rates. Once all of the rate changes are phased in, a taxpayer subject to the highest marginal rates on earned income -- including the applicable Medicare taxes -- who also resides in a state and city that impose income tax will face marginal tax rates of at least 53 percent or greater. By contrast, in Canada, taxpayers who are subject to the highest marginal rates, aggregating provincial and Canadian federal rates, face maximum rates of approximately 48 percent in Quebec and 46 percent in Alberta. Canada, of course, provides universal healthcare to all its citizens, something the United States will still be far from doing.

Let's now look briefly at just one of the complicated "revenue-raising" elements of the healthcare bills: the codification of the economic substance doctrine.

No less a jurist than Judge Learned Hand said there was nothing sinister or unpatriotic about trying to arrange your affairs to pay as little tax as possible. Yet under new section 7701(o), a transaction -- or possibly even steps within a larger transaction -- will not be given effect for tax purposes unless the taxpayer has a "substantial" nontax purpose for entering into it. In the case of our driving example, this is akin to the police pulling over a car that correctly merged into one lane to find out if they did the merge only to avoid getting a ticket. If the driver answers yes, or can't prove that he had some other motive for merging, then he will be treated as if he never moved into the correct lane and will be ticketed.

Never before has the alleged motive of a taxpayer -- including in some circumstances the "motive" of an inanimate business entity -- taken on such importance for tax purposes. The clear import is that no two taxpayers will be treated alike and that no one will know for sure whether, and when, it is safe to change lanes.

All these developments taken together with Announcement 2010-9, which effectively penalizes taxpayers for not knowing with certainty how to comply with the myriad tax rules the IRS refuses to provide certainty about, including the new economic substance doctrine, makes it apparent that we are witnessing the end of the Reagan-era tax revolution, which resulted in the bipartisan Tax Reform Act of 1986 (passed by a Democratic Congress and signed by a Republican president).

The most efficient, and fair, tax that is based on income is one that requires as few lane changes and as little complicated and arbitrary differentiation as possible -- that is, a tax with a broad base, including virtually all forms of income, more certainty, and fewer, wider bands of stable and reasonable marginal rates. The 1986 act was the closest the code has ever come to this ideal.

Healthcare reform presented an opportunity to correct the 1986 act's most problematic deviation from this ideal. Instead, it is the 1986 act's failure to fully implement the principles that led to its enactment that is ultimately leading to its demise. Whether or not this is a welcome development I leave for the reader to ponder, although my advice would be to prepare for many more traffic jams to come.

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Is Obamacare worth the cost?

Many of the problems associated with the U.S. Healthcare system all point to two major fallicies:  1)  The cost is skyrocketing; and 2) There are way too many uninsured Americans.  These are real problems in desparate need of a solution. 
 
Is Obamacare the best solution we can come up with?  Seriously?  America is obviously no longer the beacon of intelligence it once was.   
 

What Obamacare does to the Economy

 
Among the many promises Obama throws out like candy is another promise that 95% of Americans will have their taxes cut under his plan.  Uh-Oh.  This is a big problem.  We are about to create the most expensive government healthcare system in the history of our nation, and we are going to make the top 5% of Amercans foot the bill? 
 
Here is the first problem with Obama's approach (and this is essentially the first problem with almost every one of Obama's approaches.)  America's economy has been built upon the spirt of entrepreneurship.  Intuitive minds come up with a great business idea, they work long and hard hours to get it off the ground and build great wealth - the American dream.  These are the great minds that create jobs and build our economy. 
 
Imagine for a moment that you are one such wealthy entrepreneur.  You started your own company from the ground up.  It is now a booming business that employs one hundred people with great paying jobs and the company pays you $500,000/year.  You pay federal taxes at the top rate of 36%, but when the Bush tax cuts expire - you'll be bumped back up to 39.6%.  If Obama gets his way, you'll be taxed at 45%.  If you live in one of the 44 states that has income tax (at rates ranging from 5% to 10%) then your tax rate could be as high as 55%.  (Hopefully you have no city income taxes, or we go up even further from there.)  This completely ignores all the sales/use taxes and property taxes you already pay. 
 
Now imagine that you are presented with an opportunity to take your existing business and replicate it in another location.  Like all other business ventures, this decision has risk.  You'll need to borrow the money to expand, and you will need to put your existing business at risk.  If things don't go your way and the second venture fails - you may lose some or all of the first venture.  If things go great and the second venture ends up paying you $500,000/year, then you will pay at least 55% of the venture's earnings to tax jurisdictions leaving you with $225,000/year from the second venture.  To you and me - this still sounds like a worthwhile venture with a great possibility of a payout...but to this entrepreneur, is this worth the risk?  High taxes have taken a lot of the sweetness out of the deal. 
 
If Obama has his way, we are simply going to see more and more entrepreneurs decide not to risk it.  What does this do for jobs?  What does this do for the economy?  This is why the Obama plan is going to fail miserably.  The sooner Americans realize this the less damage will be done. 
 

What Obamacare does to the Dollar

Most estimates on the cost of Obamacare put it a a trillion dollars.  (Ironic that the Obama administration put out nearly a trillion dollar stimulus package earlier this year that didn't do anything, so they are talking about putting another one together.)  A trillion dollars here, a trillion dollars there...isn't everybody talking in trillions these days?  What's the big deal?  Before reading this next part, slap yourself a couple of times and make sure you have awakened out of the Obama dreamworld because this is serious. 
 
Let me illustrate how much a trillion dollars is.  If you took 100 hundred dollar bills and wrapped them together into a tight stack (the way banks do) you would have a tight stack about half an inch thick that fits easily into the palm of your hand totaling $10,000.  If you then took 10,000 of these stacks of bills and wrapped them tightly together onto a pallet, you would have a tightly wrapped pallet of cash worth $100 million and measuring 4' x 3/5' x 3.5'.  To have a trillion dollars, you need 10,000 of these pallets. 
 
Let's face it, the U.S. doesn't have the cash to cover Obamacare and it never will.  The economy is crumbling, and tax hikes will only speed up the crumble rate.  The U.S. will be deficit spending to cover Obamacare, which means the U.S. will eventually be printing money to get iteself out of the pickle Obama put it in - which will devalue the dollar.  (Government healthcare is much more expensive than Americans realize once you factor all this in.)   
 
 

What Obamacare does to Healthcare

One of the reasons the current healthcare system is broken is because the role of insurance has expanded from covering only catastrophic events (which insurance is ordinarily designed to do) to covering every day expenses.  Insurance has removed consumers' responsibility for making their own decisions about how to spend each dollar on healthcare, and worse yet - it has encouraged consumers to obtain at least the amount of healthcare services that they spend in premiums...which drives premiums up, drives demand for services up, and drives healthcare costs up.  
Obamacare will inject more entitlement-driven consumers into the healthcare system to further accelerate the problems described above and make the system even more unsustainable.  This is not a good solution to the problem...it is mis-directed.          
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To Those Who Wish to Stop Obamacare...

Let me first say that I am a strong supporter of Healthcare reform. Our system has experienced healthcare inflation at double digit rates for years and that is exactly what has made healthcare unaffordable and unavailable to millions of Americans. Unfortunately, the healthcare reform now being proposed by the Democrat party leaders is the wrong course...the simple economics of this proposal is far more likely to make matters worse.

House Democrats barely passed (220 votes to 215) a Healthcare bill last week that is so ridiculously liberal that even 39 House Democrats voted against it. America deserves much better than this...we need to send them back to the drawing board. Fortunately, the Healthcare bill passed by House Democrats still has to get through the Senate before President Obama can sign this disastrous 2,200 page train wreck into law.

Here's what can happen in the Senate

For those familiar with the cloture rule, the Senate can invoke cloture with 60 votes. If a cloture vote comes down party lines, then they should have 60 votes. For those unfamiliar with a filibuster, a filibuster is a move that can allow a minority to defeat a measure by tying it up in debate indefinitely (which is how a GOP Senate minority can defeat the healthcare bill.) Cloture prevents a filibuster. If cloture is invoked, it essentially sets a time limit on debate and places a deadline for final vote that can allow a bill to pass on a much slimmer margin (say 51-49.)

There are several Democrat Senators whose constituents overwhelmingly oppose a public option and whose constituents overwhemlingly voted against Obama in the election. Needless to say those constituents aren't excited with the House bill. Ironically, these same Senators are up for re-election in 2010 and are understandably very hesitant sell out their constituents and support the more liberal versions of healthcare reform. These Senators' votes are desparately needed to reach 60 votes, invoke cloture, and prevent a GOP filibuster.

Do not be duped by what these senators try to pull off this next week. I believe these vulnerable Senators will attempt to please their party by voting for cloture (thus preventing a GOP filibuster) then attempt to subsequently please their constituents by voting against the bill on the final vote (but allowing the bill to pass on a slimmer margin.) That way, those Senators can offer lip service to their constituents and hope to escape the consequences in 2010 elections. For that reason, Americans need to make it clear that anyone who votes for cloture OWNS OBAMACARE.

Here's what you can do to stop Obamacare:

1. Make sure the Senators listed below have their phones ringing off the hook, not only with your voice of opposition to Obamacare, but also with the reminder that voters will hold Senators responsible for a vote on cloture; and

2. Nothing speaks louder than money. Talkpac (http://talkpac.com/) has set up a campaign donation fund that will be used exclusively to help defeat the vulnerable democrats who chose party over constituents in their support of Obamacare. Make a donation...all these Senators have to see this next week is how quickly their 2010 opponents' campaign coffers are filling up because of this highly controversial, highly opposed healthcare reform bill.

3. Spread the Word right away.

Act quickly - Harry Reid will try to offer the motion for this next week (11/16 - 11/20). Don't worry if you aren't from these Senators' states - these Senators already know this bill is unpopular among their constituents - you don't have to pretend you are a voter from their state. Simply make it clear that

1) your dollars are still going to help their 2010 opponent if they sell out their constituents on this highly controversial bill; and
2) voters will hold Senators accountable for a cloture vote.




These are the vulnerable Senators who need to hear from you:

Sen. Evan Bayh, Indiana
DC Phone: (202) 224-5623
Local Phone: Evansville (812) 465-6500, Fort Wayne (260) 426-3151, Hammond (219) 852-2763, Indianapolis (317) 554-0750, Jeffersonville (812) 218-2317, Southbend (574) 236-8302


Sen. Michael Bennet, Colorado
DC Phone: 202) 224-5444
Local Phone: Denver Metro Office: (303) 455-7600 Toll Free: (866) 455-9866 Fax: (303) 455-8851
Colorado Springs Office: Phone: (719) 328-1100


Sen. Byron Dorgan, North Dakota
DC Phone: (202) 224-2551
Local Phone: Bismarck (701) 250-4618, Fargo (701) 239-5389, Minot (701) 852-0703, Grand Forks (701) 746-8972


Sen. Blanche Lincoln, Arkansas
DC Phone: (202) 224-4843
Local Phone: Dumas (870) 382-1023, Fayetteville (479) 251-1224, Little Rock (501) 375-2993, Jonesboro (870) 910-6896, Texarkana (870) 774-3106
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Opposition to Obamacare

Someone recently sent a comment to me in response to my opposing views on Obamacare.  Here is an excerpt of her response:  
 
"I know a lot of you think it is horrible to have every American healthy and insured but oh well. I know I know it is horrible to think that an insurance company that makes billions is going to have to cover you know matter what and they can't drop you when your condition gets too expensive. Is that really such a bad thing. Wait, why do I care who has health insurance and who doesn't? I have great coverage and so does my daughter. Oh, I know why because I have a heart and care about human beings as a whole, not just mine."

...and here is my response to her:  

Dear Ruth: (name changed to maintain her anonymity) 

Just because I (along with tens of millions if not hundreds of millions) of Americans vehemently oppose the healthcare reform currently being proposed in congress doesn't mean we all believe the current healthcare system is perfect, nor does it mean we are all heartless human beings who only care about ourselves.  I am absolutely livid that you (along with some disgustingly pathetic democrats) would even suggest that...it shows how ignorant you really are in this debate.    

Most Americans (myself included) support healthcare reform - it is desperately needed.  However, to fix the current system - we don't have to massively expand government and deficit-spend our way into oblivion.  (That might be the way y'all handle things in California, but in case you haven't noticed the California state government is almost bankrupt.)  
  • It is okay to change the rules for heath insurance companies in such a way that they have to expand coverage to all Americans.  
  • It is okay to change the rules to prevent insurance companies from dropping coverage or omitting coverage for pre-existing conditions.  
  • It is okay for the government to divert some federal funding to help unemployed households maintain coverage.  
  • It is okay to knock down states' regulatory barriers that preclude more in-state competition between insurance companies
We can fix most of the problems without bringing in a ridiculous public option that creates far more problems than it fixes and that (via the inconsequential penalties against employers who fail to offer coverage) pushes more Americans onto the public option and eventually toward a single-payer system.  

Another problem that Obama, Reid, Pelosi and all their cronies haven't even addressed in their 2,200 page waste of paper is that (as I have said before) insurance is merely a conduit for the real problem - the real problem is the cost of medical care itself.  You can fix insurance all you want, but if the cost of medical care keeps inflating the way it has - those costs will continue increasing the insurance premiums at double-digit rates, which will continue to make insurance less affordable for more and more Americans.      

That is why so many millions of American oppose Obamacare - it wastes taxpayer dollars and ultimately puts us back where we started because it won't fix a thing.  

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Successful Healthcare Models??

I recently read an article by T.R. Reid of the Washington post that discussed successful healthcare models in other countries.  The conclusion on U.S. Healthcare was this:  
" In many ways, foreign health-care models are not really "foreign" to America, because our crazy-quilt health-care system uses elements of all of them. For Native Americans or veterans, we're Britain: The government provides health care, funding it through general taxes, and patients get no bills. For people who get insurance through their jobs, we're Germany: Premiums are split between workers and employers, and private insurance plans pay private doctors and hospitals. For people over 65, we're Canada: Everyone pays premiums for an insurance plan run by the government, and the public plan pays private doctors and hospitals according to a set fee schedule. And for the tens of millions without insurance coverage, we're Burundi or Burma: In the world's poor nations, sick people pay out of pocket for medical care; those who can't pay stay sick or die."
 
Its also fair to point out that Burundi & Burma don't have Medicaid while America does.  The reality is if you get sick in America and go to hospital, they will treat you first and bill you later...America isn't inhumane in treating the sick...(but that is part of why healthcare costs so much.)  The article also points out (and this is a big problem) that the U.S. system forces 700,000 Americans per year into bankruptcy while the systems of Japan, Germany, and Britain force no one into bankruptcy.    
 
My reading of that article led me to conclude that Japan's system is far superior to all others.  Unfortunately (and this next point is omitted from the earlier-referenced Washington post article) many economists predict the Japan model is unsustainable.  A recent analysis by the consulting firm, McKinsey & Co., concluded that Japan's demand for medical care will triple in the next 25 years and that the current healthcare system will need major changes to handle that demand.  I don't know enough about Germany's or Britain's system to comment on those, but if those countries had it perfect then we'd certainly hear more politicians raving about those countries' flawless systems.  There are certainly pros & cons with every country's system, including the U.S. system - which brings me to my next point.   
 
What's the U.S.' Problem???

A lack of affordable insurance isn't the problem in America - it is only the symptom of a much larger problem.  What then is the much larger problem? 

How about the care itself?  Forget the insurance, I am talking about the costs of prescriptions, treatments, the medical equipment, the doctors, & the hospitals.  Efforts to bring about insurance reform are misguided and will ultimately be ineffective because those efforts don't address the sky-rocketing costs of the medical care/treatment.  Allow me to illustrate:  suppose you have been tasked with filling an Olympic size swimming pool with water.  Your only means of getting the water is a small, square 1/4 measuring cup.  Obama comes in and offers to fix the problem by giving you a much more stream-lined oval-shaped 1/4 measuring cup.  Did he fix anything?  Similarly, the current plans of the Obama administration (and the democrat-controlled congress) do nothing to address the real problem and rein in healthcare costs--their reform efforts seek only to tweak the insurance conduit and the manner in which those ever sky-rocketing healthcare costs are passed on to taxpayers/employers/insurance companies.  Healthcare costs will continue to sky-rocket and subsequent government officials in a newly created level of bureaucracy will be left searching for ways to balance their "new" healthcare budget.  As we have seen with every other government entitlement program, those officials won't know what they are doing and they will irresponsibly rack up unprecedented new deficits and continue to mortgage away America's future.

What about all the money those insurance companies make?
 
I most certainly don't believe that the profit motive of insurance companies in the U.S. is the problem.  After all, if an insurance company can provide a service by offering me access to healthcare and they can do so at a lower cost than I could achieve on my own...then what's the problem if the insurance company makes a little money as they provide me that service?  Am I not still better off than I would have been otherwise?  (If not, then the insurance company does not have a sustainable business model and it will be bankrupt very soon.)  Besides, providing a service and making a profit is simply the American way, and just about every American business in every industry makes its profits doing that very thing. 
 
If the insurance company gouges its customers then its competitor will come steal the customers away.  (Unfortunately, the U.S. system does need to break down some of the regulatory barriers among the states if we want insurers to truly compete with each other.  That level of competition is in the best interest of Americans and that will do wonders to lower the cost of insurance and increase its availability for more Americans.) 


Can the Current U.S. System be Salvaged? 

I suggested some of my solutions in the previous post, most of which are directed at containing healthcare costs themselves - which (unlike insurance reform) are the problem, not the symptom.  A large part of the healthcare problem goes back to simple supply & demand economics.  If we had more hospitals, doctors, and nurses then our supply of healthcare would be sufficient for the demand.  If the demand were not artificially inflated by an ever-increasing population of illegal immigrants, then supply & demand would have a greater likelihood of maintaining some level of balance.  Allow me to further illustrate:  if a city of 1,000,000 people only has one doctor that can perform MRI's - and if daily demand for MRI's in that city is enough to keep 50 doctors busy, you'd better believe the price of those MRI's is going to get very expensive.  On the other hand, if that same city had 300 doctors that could perform MRI's then chances are, those doctors who can perform the MRI's at a lower cost are going to take all the business from those who can't...the competition brings down the cost of the MRI because it increases the supply.  In either of these scenarios, Obama could gather all of the insurance reform in the world and it will have no impact on the price of that MRI as long as the supply/demand are out of balance.  In fact, of all the insurance systems currently being discussed -- a fully private insurance system is probably the only insurance system that puts any pressure on the demand side of the equation to keep the costs down.  Conversely, universal insurance coverage will put a spike in healthcare demand, which will put further pressure on supply and further accelerate the healthcare inflation we are already experiencing.          

The true socialist would then say we need price ceilings on medical care, which is another thoughtless quick fix.  If I am the MRI doctor described above, and the government imposed a $300 price ceiling on my MRI's, then the demand spikes right back up and I won't have enough hours in the day to meet the demand.  I will either use cost shifting to raise my prices in other areas that aren't subject to the ceilings or I will venture out of the MRI business into something more profitable.  Either way - anyone who wants an MRI is going to have to get in line and wait.   

Any Specific Solutions?

Any measures that can be taken to lower the cost of medical care are worth examination.  Barack Obama dismisses tort reform because he doesn't seem to believe frivolous law suits are a drain on healthcare resources.  Regardless of what his opinion is and regardless of his factual inaccuracy, tort reform is--at very least--an attempt to treat the problem - not the symptom.  Thus - tort reform should be given far more attention anything in the realm of insurance reform.  (By the way, improving technology in every other industry tends to lower the cost for that industry.  Can you think of any reason why improved technology hasn't lowered the cost of healthcare?  I'd venture to hypothesize that the current tort laws and the malpractice costs of frivolous law suits offset all the cost reductions of improved technology.)

Unfortunately, the ideas on bringing down the costs of medical care are not quick fixes.  We can't flood America's healthcare system with 10 million new doctors overnight.  We can, however, invest in doubling the size of America's medical schools.  We can further eliminate some of these barriers to the supply of medical care in the U.S. (Although it probably isn't humane to deny care to an illegal immigrant who shows up at a hospital needing treatment, it is humane to step up our border enforcement so that we can at least limit the drain on our healthcare resources that comes from illegal immigrants.)

What will all of this accomplish?  Well, since I have said many times that insurance is merely the conduit for passing on healthcare costs to the recipients - the do the math:  if the cost to your insurer comes down, doesn't it make sense that your insurance premiums will become more affordable too?  (If not, check with a competitor...competition keeps price gouging in check.)  We still need insurers to cover pre-existing conditions and we still need insurance to be more available and affordable to all Americans, but those are minor tweaks compared to everything congress is currently discussing.  If we can lower the cost of medical care itself, private insurance (not government insurance) will become more affordable and more available.  That's the American way to fix it.                       
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Initial Thoughts on Obama's Healthcare Speech

I can't believe I am saying this, but I liked a lot of what I heard Obama say last night during his 09/09/09 healthcare speech to congress...was it because Obama was using all the right buzz words that everyone wants to hear or was it because he presented meaningful dialogue and reform?  The beginning of the speech wherein Obama outlined the problems with our current system were things both sides agree with.  No one disagrees that our current healthcare system desperately needs reform.  

I was hopeful as Obama included valid points from the opposition and seemed to imply a future of bipartisanship as they work through these deals.  Unfortunately, there were many things he said that either highlighted his ignorance on some of the issues or that just plainly don't add up to the promises he made.  For example:  

  1. Coverage for Illegal Aliens.  Although I didn't like Joe Wilson's tact, I am glad someone called out Obama on that illegal alien verbiage.  I don't believe any conservatives have ever said the health care bills explicitly cover illegal aliens...Obama's comment here was misdirected.  The conservative criticism has been that the bill does nothing to explicitly EXCLUDE or PROHIBIT illegals from obtaining coverage nor does the bill address any measures to ENFORCE those prohibitions or even VERIFY CITIZENSHIP.  That is the problem - click here for more information. How is Obama's point (the the bill does not extend coverage to illegals) relevant if the bill does not include any language to prevent illegals from obtaining coverage?  A lack of citizenship verification (or lack of enforcement plans) for illegal aliens is by default an extension of coverage because illegals will exploit that to their advantage as will the trial lawyers.  On this issue, Obama still just doesn't get it. 
  2. Pretty much any reference to "Bush's tax cuts for the wealthy."  That is a partisan as it gets.  The Bush tax cuts are more accurately described as tax cuts to the taxpayers...if you paid a lot of taxes, you got more of a tax cut that you did if you paid no taxes.  If you were already getting a free ride by paying no taxes then I'm sorry - you didn't get your taxes cut below zero.  How can Obama promise bipartisanship when he keeps throwing partisan jabs at his opponents in the same breath?    
  3. When Obama justified the cost of his program by contrasting it with the cost of the wars, I thought that was idiotic.  At the time those wars were declared (by both parties) it was a matter of national security.  Regardless of how fiscally irresponsible the Bush administration was (and my biggest gripe with G.W. Bush was his out-of-control spending) - Obama's spending makes Bush look like Dave Ramsey.  You don't justify another trillion dollar spending package by claiming that it costs less than our last fiscally irresponsible spending package.  Is it not just as idiotic for me to buy a car that my wife and I cannot afford, then buy my wife another car we cannot afford and proceed to justify those irresponsible decisions by claiming these cars still cost less than the house we bought last month (which we also cannot afford.)  Do those Federal Government chambers have some electronic field that zaps away a person's common sense once they are elected?  Once again, how can you promise bipartisanship when you keep throwing jabs at your opponents?
  4. (As an afterthought to #3, I'd be more accepting of Obama's promise to cut inefficiencies and waste to pay for the program if I had ever seen our government succeed in delivering on such a promise.  I don't mean to be skeptical and pessimistic here, but the government's track record of failing to deliver on this type of promise extends far beyond my lifetime.  I'd rather find an alternative where I don't have to put my trust in a government that hasn't earned my trust.)   
  5. Overall, when Obama seemed to address critics of his plan - he pointed to their charges as ridiculous and false and remarked that the bill contained no such things.  As indicated in #1 above, there is a difference between items that are specifically addressed in the bill and consequences resulting from the bill.  The critics of Obama's healthcare reform raise many legitimate concerns about the CONSEQUENCES of this reform as it is written.  For example, Obama dismisses the "death panels" as a ridiculous scare tactic and points out that the bill contains no such measures.  That is not the point his critics are making...the "death panels" could very well be a consequence of what happens when the decision of how to ration health care (which is a scarce resource that accordingly has to somehow be rationed in one way or another - that's simple Economics 101) is turned over to the government.  If 1000 individuals need life-saving care and the government-run healthcare system only has resources to provide care for 500 of those, someone in the government will make a decision on which 500 get care and which get delayed care or no care.  That is the death panel concern and it is a very legitimate concern (read more about it here and also more specific comments from Obama & his advisors here) that Obama blew off as a "falsehood" and a "ridiculous scare tactic."  His critics all point to Section 1233 of the bill, and Obama continues to avoid any meaningful dialogue on those concerns.  
  6. Tort Reform - Obama has clearly underestimated how big of a problem this really is.  The problem isn't limited to the skyrocketing malpractice costs for doctors who have to pass those costs on to thier patients.  The problem also includes doctors having to perform all kinds of additional (and many times unnecesary) tests merely to cover their ground from a legal perspective.  I truly hope Obama is open-minded about what the panels find in this area and I hope he is prepared to deal with the trial lawyers' special interest groups as he seeks reform in this area.
  7. Some other problems with Obama's healthcare reform shown here
  8. Some other solutions that should be considered/included.
My overall philosophy is as follows: 
    1. Keep government involvement as minimal as possible; Isn't it ironic that the 10th amendment of our constitution prohibits our congress from meddling outside of their enumerated powers (which enumerated powers DO NOT include anything remotely connected to healthcare or a "public option") yet our entire congress ignores that fundamental problem to their approach?  
    2. Attack the problem at its source (hint:  insurance isn't the source, it is merely a conduit for the real problem - escalating heath care costs are the real problem.)  I liken insurance reform to bailing water off the Titanic...and I believe the "public option" only pokes a bunch of holes in your "bailing bucket."    
    3. Limit insurance use to the large, catastrophic-type events, and have Americans pay for the basic day to day stuff either out of pocket or with HSA's.  (ie:  I am happy to have my insurance pay $900 for a sonogram, but I'll scrap the sonogram if the $900 has to come out of my pocket...and we wonder why healthcare costs so much?  If a sonogram were not covered by insurance and Americans all had to decide whether to pay that out of pocket, the sonogram providers will have to either drop their price to get any customers or make their living doing something else.  Hmmmm.)
    4. Speaking of HSA's, how about getting rid of that senseless "use it or lose it rule?"
    5. How about a system that rewards elements of healthy lifestyles - how's that for attacking the problem at the source?
    6. Tort reform will do a lot to bring down health care costs...to apply my Titanic example, tort reform is equivilent to closing up one of the big holes wherein the ship is taking on water.
    7. How about getting some balance to the supply & demand problem with healthcare.  How about some incentives to create more doctors.  How about expanding the capacity of the medical schools and knocking down some of the barriers that limit how many doctors we have?  Again - to apply the Titanic example - this is another hole that is taking on water...but these are fixable without a massive expansion of government.        
I am as hopeful as anyone that our healthcare system gets the badly needed healthcare reform.  Much of the needed tweaks to our current system could be accomplished through tax credits & incentives calculated to change behavior for the medical community, the insurance companies, and the American people.  That keeps the reform constitutional.  The highest priority in my opinion is right in line with many things Obama said:  coverage for pre-existing conditions, curbing medical inflation, allowing better access to healthcare for more Americans--(which is best accomplished by lowering the costs), preventing insurance companies from dropping you when you don't want to be dropped, tort reform, etc.  I'd prefer to fix these problems in a way that costs taxpayers and employers as little as possible and in a way that limits government powers to those permitted within the constitutional framework.      

I truly hope Obama was sincere in his call for bipartisanship to fix this, but that sincerity remains to be seen in the coming weeks/months.    

UPDATE:  Heard an interview with Joe Wilson regarding his "that's a lie" outburst during the Obama speech.  Wilson pointed out that republicans proposed an amendment to the house bill that would further prevent illegal aliens from abusing the system by requiring citizenship verification.  Democrats defeated the amendment and prevented it from making its way onto the bill.  (Now can you understand why it pushed Wilson over the top when Obama claimed illegal aliens would not receive coverage under the bill?  Obama knew about the defeated amendment yet he still deliberately and dishonestly claimed illegals would not receive coverage under his bill...in other words, he lied through his teeth to congress and America.)  
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The Perils of Higher Minimum Wage

Before I get into how ludicrous it is to keep raising minimum wage, let me first state that I am 100% supportive of finding ways for everyone to better their lives and earn better wages...I would just rather have the individuals do things to make their raise a merit-based raise rather than have it dictated by the government. 
 
Unfortunately, raising the Federal minimum wage hurts more people than it helps...especially in these tough economic times.  Jobs that pay minimum wage do so because the jobs are low-skill and just about anybody could do them.  Those jobs are easy to fill because there is a high supply of people with qualified skills for the job.  As the requisite level of expertise, qualifications, and responsibilities for a job increase, so does the pay because the pool of people who are qualified to perform the job is getting smaller and smaller up the chain.  If you raise the minimum wage, then simple economics dictates that you must also provide incremental increases to each person up the chain.  Allow me to illustrate:   
  • John is a dishwasher making minimum wage of $6.55/hour
  • Alan (John's supervisor) is an assistant line cook who makes $7.25/hour
  • Mark (Alan's supervisor) is a line cook making $8/hour
  • ...etc.
Congress then decides minimum wage needs to be raised to $7.25/hour...so John is now making the same wage as his supervisor - Alan.  Is it fair for John to be making the same wage as Alan?  (Remember, Alan has more responsibilities and spent additional time & money obtaining the qualifications for his job.)  Alan is going to demand $8/hour, which pays him the same as his supervisor - Mark.  The chain continues upward.  If all these employees are part of a union, then it is really party time!  Everyone will get an un-merited raise faster than I can say GM!      
 
If you are the restaurant owner, you are already trying to do everything you can to weather the storm in these tough economic times, but (thanks to the government) you now have to give out a bunch of raises whether the raises are merited or not.  Your budget (which has already been tightening down due to lower revenues during the economic downturn) is already as tight as it can get, so you can't cover the salary increases with cost-cuts somewhere else. What are your choices? 
 
The easiest, most feasible, and most common option is to keep your total salary costs at present levels by eliminating John's position (although asking for a government bailout is probably the next most popular choice.)  You draft up a memo to redefine job responsibilities.  John gets laid off...his supervisor (who one year earlier worked his way up from washing dishes for minimum wage) is back to washing dishes for a slightly higher minimum wage, and the restaurant goes on operating leaner and meaner with heavier workloads .  You continue operations with less employees so that your overall salary cost has taken as little impact as possible.     
 
Instead of John's wages getting bumped up, John is now unemployed and congress has hurt the very person they were trying to help.  John and his fellow dishwashers had better hurry and find another job fast because the restaurant (along with every other employer) will eventually raise their prices to cover the wage increases.  The cost of living notches upward and a short while later, even the increased hourly minimum wage will once again barely buy him lunch at Taco Bell. 
 
Some employers will find a way to keep people like John on board; but unfortunately, experience has shown that more "John's" will lose their job than not.  It is also noteworthy to point out that the majority of people working for minimum wage are young (many times high school age) individuals who aren't depending on their wages to put food on the table or a roof over their heads. 
 
Raising the minimum wage is not a solution to anything - it only compounds the problems we are experiencing in the economy.  If you thought you were safe from the next round of layoffs, you'd better watch out after July 2009 because there's another curve ball coming at your employer when minimum wage goes up.           
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Should same-sex marriage be legalized?

It already was and already is...you just have to call it something other than marriage.  Why is that such a problem if you have to call it a domestic partnership or union?  Take Proposition 8 in California for example.  (As one who deals with tax laws for a living, I understand a little about constitutions, federal & state legislation, and marriage rights.)
 
If you look at California Family Code Section 297-297.5 (both before and after the passage of Proposition 8) it states:  
 
(a) “Registered domestic partners shall have the same rights, protections, and benefits, and shall be subject to the same responsibilities, obligations, and duties under law, whether they derive from statutes, administrative regulations, court rules, government policies, common law, or any other provisions or sources of law, as are granted to and imposed upon spouses.”  (Emphasis added)
 

Further summary of Family Code:

  • (b–d) CA Family Code further gives the same rights to former domestic partners, surviving domestic partners, and domestic partners with respect to children.
  • (e) Registered domestic partners shall be treated by California law as if federal law recognized a domestic partnership in the same manner as California law.
  • (f) Registered domestic partners shall have the same rights regarding nondiscrimination as those provided to spouses.
  • (g) No public agency in this state may discriminate against any person or couple on the ground that the person is a registered domestic partner rather than a spouse.
Feel free to verify this if you want but Prop 8 did not take away any rights from gay & lesbian couples.  All Prop 8 did was dictate that California will not term the union of gay/lesbian couples as a "marriage."  Regardless of whether you call it a marriage or a domestic partnership - all those rights are intact (both before and after the election) and from the state's legal perspective, there is absolutely no difference between a heterosexual marriage and a gay/lesbian domestic partnership.  None.
 
So if this isn't about rights, why is it such a heated battle?  I can't answer that because I don't know.  (Brace yourself because here is where I am going to articulate my speculative reasoning.  I think there is a bigger agenda hiding behind the supposed gay/lesbian rights banner...but I'll get to that later.  Marriage came about because of religious/spiritual reasons long before there was any legally recognized institution of marriage (or rights.)  The term marriage was originally coined and defined by the churches as a religious union between a man and a woman...with vows made to eachother and to God.  (The legal angle came into play much later as disputes among family members surfaced over rights to property, child custody, survivorship, and the estate.) 
 
I believe the gay & lesbian community is smart group of people...smart enough to know that (from a California state perspective) a registered domestic partnership already has the same rights as a married couple; therefore I refuse to accept that they believe their efforts are all about equal rights (and not part of a larger agenda hiding itself behind a civil rights banner so that it garners more support.)  So - what is the agenda if it isn't about rights?  
 
Could the agenda be for the leaders in the gay/lesbian community to shove this issue in the face of religion by having the courts force the churches to redefine their own terminology?  Many churches do not believe that gay/lesbian unions are in accordance with God's commandments, so most churches refuse to perform marriage ceremonies to gay/lesbian couples.  If the term "marriage" were redefined to include gay/lesbian couples, then churches will lose part of their freedom to worship because they will face discrimination law suits if/when they continue refusing to perform "marriage" ceremonies for gay/lesbian couples.  After all, it isn't discrimination for a church to say "our religious beliefs only allow for us to perform religious unions called marriages, not gay/lesbian unions."  However, if the term marriage included gay/lesbian couples -- then it is discriminatory for a church to say we perform marriages, but only for heterosexual couples - not gay/lesbian couples.  The latter has a discrimination law suit written all over it because it is no different than saying "we will perform marriages, but only for whites - not blacks, hispanics, or asians.  See the difference?            
 
To the gay/lesbian community I can honestly tell you that I have absolutely no problem with allowing gay & lesbian couples the same rights that my spouse & I have as a married couple; however, for reasons outlined above -- I have a big problem using the term "marriage" to describe gay & lesbian unions.  What would I change in California?  Not a thing.  Stick with the "domestic partnership" term or pick something else if you prefer, but you have to leave marriage alone.  Leave the churches alone.  Marriage was and is a religous union performed by the churches.  Do not force your religious beliefs upon the churches by forcing them to redefine or change their terminology.  As demonstrated in the California statutes above, you already have all the same rights as a married couple.  There is still a Federal battle to be fought so that you can file with the IRS a joint tax return with your domestic partner.  There are still other state battles to provide equal rights to domestic partners as California has done.  I am all for equal rights, and I will fight those battles along side you...but I will not join the fight to re-define the religous term - marriage.  On that issue, I will fight against you with every ounce of strength I have.         

Please refrain from deceiving Americans by telling them Prop 8 was all about rights because (as you can see in California statutes) nothing could be further from the truth.
 
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Why McCain Can't Win...

Allow me to begin by pointing out I have clearly been a Mitt Romney supporter for the past two plus years...I have never been excited about the McCain campaign.  McCain's presidential campaign reminds me a little too much of Fred Thompson's primary campaign.  I have never liked McCain's positions nor his chances for this election.  I believe his campaign was doomed for failure ever since he won the nomination.  I held up a glimmer or hope when he selected Palin as his running mate, but not even Palin could bring the McCain campiagn the life it needs to win this election.  Allow me also to point out that I can't stand Obama and it is killing me to see so many gullible Americans falling for the Obama-Biden rhetoric. 
 
Now, for the facts.  I have said for over a year now that this election will be decided by 7-8 states and that few other states would change colors from the 2004 election.  Both the GOP and the Dem's will maintain most of the states each party held in 2004 with the following potential exceptions.  The GOP would try to steal MI, MN, and WI and the Dem's would try to steal OH, VA, FL, and CO.  Based on CNN's polls, it appears the Dem's may not only succeed in holding MI, MN, and WI but also that they could very well succeed in stealing all four of those GOP states plus a few more. 
 
If CNN's polls are close, then clearly the GOP's problem is that even if McCain wins all 84 electoral votes from the swing states (which already looks unlikely at this point...but let's be as optimistic as possible) McCain's total electoral votes will reach 247 and Obama 291.  In other words, under the most McCain-optimistic scenario I can conceive, Obama still wins by 44 electoral votes.  McCain enjoys making fun of Obama's "cockiness" and pointing out that Obama is already measuring the drapes in the whitehouse.  Under the circumstances, if I were Obama - I do more than measure drapes...I'd either take the weekend off or maybe see if I can go steal Arizona.
 
McCain
RIP.   
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I think I figured out why Huck hasn't dropped out...

In a single, simple answer to the question as to why Huck hasn't dropped out of the race:  Huck's presidential campaign is good for business. 
 
Let's face it - Huck is in the speech-giving business.  Mike Huckabee hides no secrets about making his living through speaking engagements in the church circuit.  It is no secret that he has a regular fee of $25,000 per speaking engagement...and while he may not necessarily stick to that fee for every speech he gives on the church circuit - his presidential campaign continues to help Huckabee tour the country and fill up his calendar with  paid speech after paid speech...(most recently in Colorado Springs.)
 
Honestly, I can't say I blame him.  After all - the presidential campaign trail is hard work...and if a candidate has figured out a lucrative way to be paid during the course of his campaign, who can blame him for "priming the pump."  As long as John McCain does not have 1,191 delegates he needs to secure the nomination, Huckabee can continue to line his pockets as he preaches for filthy lucre...and if I were him, I'd milk every last dime I could - because the calendar (and the speaking engagements) might dry up after McCain wins the nod.
 
Could this be why Mitt Romney foresaw the prudence of endorsing John McCain for the good of the party?  Was Romney actually foreseeing Mike Huckabee's continued mockery of campaign finance laws and use of the "presidential publicity" to further Huckabee's  personal fortune...at the expense of the GOP and its voters?  Hmmmm... 
 
I confess - I have under-estimated Huck's business sense.  He is a better businessman than I thought.   
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Why GOP Candidates don't want endorsements from the Boston Globe...

On December 16, 2007 the McCain campaign thought they had crippled the Romney campaign when McCain won the endorsement of the Boston Globe.  (After all, this was right from Romney's back yard - if Romney was such a good governor, why wouldn't a prominent Massachusetts Newspaper endorse Mitt?) 
 
Unfortunately, the Boston Globe is a liberal newspaper with a liberal agenda.  As Mitt was arguably the most conservative candidate in the race, it was obvious he wouldn't be winning any endorsements from a liberal paper like the Globe. 
 
That begs the question:  Why endorse McCain? 
 
Answer:  To put myself in their shoes - if I really want Hillary or Barack to win the whitehouse, then why not use my influence to help the GOP nominate a weaker candidate?   That being my strategy, I can then start up the attacks on how much of a weakling McCain really is once he has the GOP nomination wrapped up...maybe even sooner.  Sounds ridiculous to accuse the Boston Globe of such deceitful, manipulative behavior - right?  Wrong!  
 
Now that McCain is the clear front runner and likely nominee, the Globe has flip-flopped, and is now in "Attack McCain" mode.   It has barely been two months since that very paper endorsed McCain, now they are unloading on him.  Unbelievable!!   When the Boston Globe endorsed John McCain, this should have been a red flag to republicans.  The GOP has been duped into nominating McCain.  I hate to say the GOP has lost this election, but we all know McCain doesn't have a chance in November...especially against the young, charismatic, energetic, enthusiastic, well-funded Obama.  Don't get me wrong - McCain still has my vote, but McCain's odds of winning in November are about the same as Ron Paul's odds of winning the GOP nomination (in my humble opinion.)          
 
 
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Conservative Christians Mull 3rd Party Candidate Idea - Again

(Speaking to those conservative christians who failed to back Mitt Romney.) 
 
All I can say to conservative christians (after I read how they now are considering a 3rd party candidate on this latest article on msnbc ) is: 
 
We told you so.
 
Now after you evangelicals face the consequences of disregarding the advice of countless conservatives (Paul Weyrich, Mark DeMoss, Bob Jones III, Robert R. Taylor, Rush Limbaugh, Laura Ingraham, Mark Levin, Sean Hannity, and Hugh Hewitt...not to mention the vast GOP endorsements for Romney - the magnitude of which which exceeded even McCain himself) that exhorted you to line up behind Mitt Romney for the good of conservatism, you evangelicals now have the audacity to consider third party options in the general election?????      Unbelievable!!!!!!! 
 
It is because of people like you that I am becoming a stronger and stronger advocate of a requirement for voters to pass some sort of intelligence test before their vote can be counted.  I am convinced that America could elect much better leaders (both in primaries and general elections) if we can slice off  the "stupidity vote" from the ballot box and eliminate the effect it has on elections.  I suspect that could have eliminated 50% of Huck's votes...and the remaining 50% would have realized more strongly that Huck is unelectable and voted the pre-Feb.5 McCain-Romney race based on the issues important to them:  1) Pro-life; and 2) Federal Marriage Amendment.  McCain was 1/2; Romney 2/2.       
 
I beat this issue to death in January that we were in a two-man race, and that conservative evangelicals needed to choose between McCain & Romney.  A vote for Huck was a vote for McCain.  To most of us, that was obvious before February 5, but I guess it wasn't obvious for the majority of evangelicals until February 6.  I hope you learned your lesson.  Huckabee made his appeal to a select group of voters while alienating everyone else...which limited his candidacy and made him unelectable both in the primaries and the general.  He failed to appeal to fiscal conservatives...he failed to appeal to economic conservatives...he failed to appeal to military and national security conservatives.  He was (and still is) unelectable both in the primary and in the general. 
 
I am now a reluctant, pessimistic McCain supporter...only because he is a slightly better alternative to Hillary or Obama. 
 
I'm sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but you evangelicals gave up your fight for the Federal Marriage Amendment when you chose Huckabee over Romney...I'm just as upset over that as you Evangelicals are, but I strongly suggest you line up behind McCain in November if you want to win any abortion battles over the next 4-8 years.  Your stupidity in supporting Huck over Romney has already cost us the battle over the federal marriage amendment, but let's learn from our mistakes!!!!   A third-party conservative candidate will hand the general election to the Democrats...causing us to lose yet another battle - on abortion!!!!   Think!!!  Cut the stupidity vote...let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater!!!!   (Pun intended.)      
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Facts are stubborn things for a Huck Supporter

Jeff Fuller (of www.mymanmitt.com) was in a discussion with a Huckabee supporter who was dissing Mitt as "Finished." 

The reponse was just beautiful: 

It looks like Mitt (after 1 month of primaries and caucuses) is going to have more total votes and total delegates than your man (Huck) will have after 2 months of primaries and caucuses. 


(CNN delegate count as of 2/13/2008)
Delegates
McCain 830
Romney 286
Huckabee 217



Vote Tally as of 2/13/2008

Total Votes Percent
McCain 5,468,444            38.77%
Romney 4,293,965         30.44%
Huckabee 2,800,425              19.85%



And your man is more "finished" now than than our man was when he bowed out for the good of the party.

The Huck supporter then said that Romney spent over a million dollars per delegate and was the worst political investment ever . . . the Fuller reply: I think Rudy's $50 million for 1 delegate is probably the "worst political investment ever".

And, like Huck, I'm no math major, but I do have at least two functioning brain cells.
Romney got 286 delegates . . . your "$1 plus mil per delegate" claim suggests that he must have spent $300 million or more on this campaign.  Either you're easily duped (typical Huck supporter BTW) or your completely dishonest (typical Huck mimicker).

When a guy drops out of a masters program to be the understudy of a Tele-Evangelist - that tells us all anyone (especially any religious person) needs to know about Huck's character and aspirations.

UPDATE:  Stats were updated 2/13/08 with data current as of 2/13/08.  The Math for Huck is getting worse daily.  It still appears that by 3/4/08, Huck might still not even catch up to Romney's 2/5 numbers, where Romney dropped out for the good of the party.    

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